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October 16, 2008 EDITION
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Gas prices trickle, motorists wonder
AAA explains shortage, high cost of fuel

High gasoline prices don’t begin with a trickle at the gas pump — they have their origins in Houston.


An Ingles station in Jonesboro, Tenn. shows a price of $2.74 per gallon of unleaded gasoline on Monday, compared to Boone’s $3.69. Photo by Bruce Morrison
Local gas supplies are still restricted because of refinery shutdowns in September, though damage from hurricanes Ike and Gustav was generally less than expected. However, getting the system flowing at full speed has taken some time, and not all gas stations have the same spigot into the distribution system.

Industry advocates say there are legitimate reasons that High Country’s prices, which are only now beginning to see a decrease, are as much as 50 cents higher than those less than 50 miles away. When prices remained steady locally last week at $3.85 per gallon, prices in Mountain City, Tenn. and Spruce Pine were between $3.35 and $3.40.

Local prices have dropped throughout the week to around $3.50, but many motorists still wonder why regional distributors cannot stay competitive with gas suppliers in neighboring counties.

“We have the highest prices in the nation on highest 48 contiguous states, while our prices our dropping,” said Carol Gifford, spokesperson for AAA Carolinas. “It is still based on the fact that we had such an acute shortage for such a long period of time and the distribution. It’s been a much-longer-term impact than we would expect.”

Gifford pointed out that gasoline production is a private industry and operates under free-market laws of supply and demand.

“We are really dependent on oil companies and their decisions and they can move around supply however they want to do it,” she said. “Companies decided to look at other sources, bringing gasoline on trucks from Midwest and Northeast and bringing gasoline on barges to ports in North Carolina. This was an expensive delivery for them and accounts for some of the high prices.”

“We are actually in a declining price trend right now across the industry and across the country,” said Bill Weatherspoon, executive director for the North Carolina Petroleum Council, a trade organization that is part of the American petroleum Institute.

“North Carolina prices have actually declined from their recent record highs. The damage to the refineries and the aftermath and getting back to normal has interfered with the downward price trends.”

Weatherspoon said since the Southeast is served primarily through a gasoline pipeline, its supply is not as easily replaced as tin traditional tanker-served areas. That’s why crude-oil prices have dropped but local prices are still among the highest in the country.

“Other areas have reflected the decline in price of crude oil much more quickly, portending that there’s good news around the corner,” Weatherspoon said. “What we’ve experienced here is the uncertainty of supply.”

About 85 to 90 percent of gasoline in North Carolina comes from the pipeline, which is actually two separate pipes built during World War II. The Colonial pipeline runs from Houston to New York, while the Plantation pipeline runs from Baton Rouge, La. to Washington, D.C. The pipeline has distribution points along the way where gas is stored and then carried to regional stations via tanker trucks.

Most gasoline comes to the Boone area from Spartanburg, S.C. Other North Carolina distribution points are in Charlotte, Greensboro, Selma, Fayetteville and Wilmington. Since Charlotte was one of the areas experiencing the greatest gas shortages, simply having a storage facility doesn’t ensure an adequate supply.
With shutdown of refineries along the Gulf of Mexico, the pipeline was carrying less gasoline, and that shortfall and gaps in the distribution service are still being filled.

Weatherspoon said the supply problems started with the shutdown of the refineries. “The refinery is to oil industry what a bakery is to the bread business,” he said.

During the shortages, oil companies were sending tankers from the Midwest and even using seaports to deliver supplies. That added additional costs to suppliers.

Individual gasoline retailers have individual contracts, typically with a brand-name chain such as Mobil, Citgo or BP. Stations that have contracts were more likely to receive allocations of supply, though Weatherspoon said the allocations were typically made based on a percentage of the amount usually delivered.

Independent retailers buy their supplies on the spot market based on available gasoline supplies.

“In a shortage or a tight-inventory market, there is no gas available,” Gifford said. “That’s why you saw some of the smaller stations shut down their pumps for a week.”

Gasoline taxes also affect price discrepancies across the nation. North Carolina’s gasoline tax is 48.6 cents per gallon, which includes a federal excise tax of 18.4 cents a gallon. In Tennessee the tax is 39.8 cents, in Virginia it is 38 cents and in South Carolina it is 35 cents a gallon. However, local prices have outpaced Tennessee prices by as much as 50 cents.

Both Gifford and Weatherspoon say gas stations don’t make their money at the pump. Instead, gasoline is often a break-even product that entices customers into stores to spend money. Stations that don’t have gasoline, even at high prices, may be feeling the pinch.

“Certainly in the past few years, gasoline is not a money maker for the retailers,” Gifford said. “They make their money on the sale of other items. I know that’s hard to believe when people see high gas prices and oil companies are making record profits.”

Weatherspoon said retailers might be keeping pump prices a little higher to make up for business lost during slow days or when they had no gasoline to sell. “That particular retailer is suffering from a loss of business because he doesn’t have product to sell,” he said. “Common sense tells us that most of the gas retailers have transformed their businesses in recent years to include a convenience-store offering. We can get bread and milk and beer and everything else.”

Retailers balance “inside sales” versus gas-pump sales. “Drivers will drive along and look for gasoline,” Weatherspoon said. “If they see the brown bag or plastic bag over the pump, then that means you’re not going to sell as many potato chips and milk.

“They won’t reduce pump price because of business losses, and we’re probably seeing some of that across the market, to make up for days when they were out of business,” Weatherspoon added.

“The companies were actually not making huge profits in this, if any profit,” Gifford said. “When they were spikes in the wholesale gasoline, gasoline distributors had to pay to get that gasoline in. Motorists noticed steep increases in gasoline but in many cases it didn’t cover the costs of that retailer for gasoline that was in high demand.”

Gifford said even though gasoline retail is a private industry, some planning may help head off future shortages. Some state officials are hoping to hold a roundtable discussion that prepares for emergencies, bringing oil companies, retailers, and legislators together to create distribution plans. At present, the government has little role in distribution, aside from the governor’s authority to enact price-gouging laws in a declared state of emergency.

“The lesson that all the stake holders learned from this hurricane and its outcome is we need to have some kind of contingency plan in place,” Gifford said. “If gasoline isn’t flowing freely through the pipeline, where are we getting our gasoline?

“States are putting together working groups featuring retailers, distributors and others concerned about the situation. We expect there’s going to be ongoing conversation about how to improve the situation.”

Weatherspoon said the shortages pointed out the state’s dependency on the pipeline and a distant energy source, suggesting offshore drilling in North carolina would allow for more diversity in supply. If hurricanes threaten one area, gasoline would still flow from another.

Statewide pump prices are expected to stabilize near national-average prices in the next week or two. Thursday, gas was reportedly dropping about 20 cents a gallon across the state, though pump prices in the Boone area made more modest drops of around seven cents a gallon.

“The price of crude oil is down and we know the market is going to find that appropriate equilibrium between price of crude and price of retail,” Weatherspoon said. “It seems to work in a down market and an up market. I expect as we reach normal market circumstances that we’re going to see the same thing—the history of the relationship between crude oil and the retail price of gasoline.”

Weatherspoon said that even with planning, dependence on the pipeline could mean future shortages in the event of natural disasters. But such events remain as difficult to predict as tomorrow’s gas prices. However, Weatherspoon believes the history of the gasoline market points to lower prices in the weeks ahead.

“The good news here is that prices are headed for friendlier levels for the consumer and it’s dictated by the price of crude,” said Weatherspoon.

Last week, N.C. Sen. Steve Goss (D-45) asked state Attorney General Roy Cooper to launch an investigation into the lingering gas shortage in northwestern North Carolina.

“We also need some explanation as to why the price of gasoline at the pump has not decreased more rapidly,” he said.

“Understanding that there is a delay of several weeks for the wholesale price of gasoline to be reflected at the pump, I believe that four-to-six weeks of decreasing wholesale prices have not been passed along properly to the public.”





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